Just as you can tell whether your football team needs a new manager or your company needs a new CEO, there's got to be a way we can tell which countries are outplaying the others in this war of the world? What are their leaders up to? What are their strengths? What are their weaknesses? What strategies are they following and where? Also, in this era, we need to what the world then thinks of them?
With what we're doing we can all become stattos to our own era, judging which leader is winning, which is losing and more importantly the what, who, how, why and where of it because we can track their position up and down the power league table.
A leader takes over a country. He talks of its glorious past and its magical future. You believe him. You want your country to top every league table it can. He's big on building. You're a, let's say, builder and you believe in him.
How would you know?
You track your country's leader through the League of Nations.
But maybe you think the leader is a charlatan who will take his country down, you’re sure of it. The leader says he wants his country to be the world-beating number one nation for healthcare. But you're a nurse and you know healthcare is worse than other countries. No-ones listening to you. No-one can do anything. They say everything'll turn out fine.
You're not sure about him. You're right. Here are the top five leaders. Over the last week only Xi and Modi appear to buck the trend for outright public hostility to their leaders.
In the second rank top 5 only Meloni and the new Japanese prime minister, Ishibi, seem to have some claim on public sentiment.
The League of Nations
The old League of Nations had a bad press.
Letting dictators run amok whilst laughing at the powerless words of the world's first ever international friendship society.
Ending up voting in a ruling on railway sleepers the day war broke out.
The League of Nations was an international diplomatic group developed after World War I as a way to solve disputes between countries before they erupted into open warfare. It failed.
But - I thought one day - why didn't it actually have a league?
If the world could see Hitler plunging Germany down the league table of freedom.
With Germany soaring up the league table of military, y and z, a fearful people needed facts to speak louder than the words of Beaverbrook and appeasement to make sense of what could happen, why, where and when.
Why couldn't they see it coming? Because they didn't see this. And what's coming our way? We've gone back to 1991 and in some cases centuries to track the facts. And facts speak louder than words.
And why didn't they ask the people?
What did people think about Germany? What did they recommend? What new facts and opinions could be aired and shared?
What did the people think? And why didn't the League do a bit of superforecasting?
We'll do what they didn't. Let's find a new way of international harmony to solve disputes between everybody arguing in the pub about who's going up or down the league table of history.
The battle is on to win the League of Nations.
Big data – actual and social - enables reports such as the State Power Index to identify the annual league table position of major countries. BUT ONLY EACH YEAR.
But to understand the world people expect to see and analyse change much quicker than each year. Change happens daily like the stock market or weekly like the football league. For that we have to go closer to the people. We can now assess 3500 data sources, paid for by the public don't forget, and create 32 weekly league tables. All these leagues' countries get ranking points which are then fed up into the State Power Index (SPI). They get points from their position in the league table and from how people are thinking they're playing both from official opinion polls and from online sentiment analysis. The end result is that you can now see how countries perform like football teams.
Changed rankings from each and every published index is hte same as a game of football won or lost for each country.
We have three ways of looking at this:
First, the League of Nations. Just like the World Cup: we're going to track countries - the best national teams in the world. The best global plan, manager and players. The hegemon. Like Germany and Italy and Brazil in their time. This is represented on our home page by the leaderboard of nations.
Second, the Smart Power Leagues - the regional cups like the Euros, Copa AMerica etc: we're going to track countries 7 smart powers the equivalent of what makes a state powerful – its economy, military, government, diplomacy, people, resources, culture. Just like a manager using his best players to execute his plan, matching the gameplan to fit the skillset required to win compared with other countries.
These are the smart powers of nations. The best use and deployment of the best talent available to win.
Third: the Smart Power Games; the Clubs Cups: these are from where the manager and the players come from. All managers and players come from managing or playing for national clubs. We're going to track countries policies like who has the best healthcare, the best schooling just like we’d track rising Champions League clubs like Man City or great players, showing how their gameplan style and players skills feed into the national side’s success at regional cup and world cup levels.
Then the leader who has to bring it altogether – the manager. We rank the managers approval ratings in two visualisations:
1. Using Talkwalker and Brand 24 online sentiment analysis we track the public approval of the manager and the team just like national leaders compared with other leaders. A popularity table of world leaders.
2. We track the aggregrate score for each of the smart power leagues monthly.
